Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004039 0.004431 0.004852 0.005339 0.005888 0.006490 0.007203
2025-08-24 0.003361 0.003899 0.004519 0.005291 0.006236 0.007362 0.008822
2025-08-31 0.002914 0.003502 0.004211 0.005137 0.006332 0.007842 0.009928
2025-09-07 0.002650 0.003276 0.004058 0.005122 0.006558 0.008465 0.011253
2025-09-14 0.002510 0.003182 0.004050 0.005275 0.006998 0.009396 0.013099
2025-09-21 0.002306 0.002982 0.003878 0.005179 0.007073 0.009811 0.014237
2025-09-28 0.002134 0.002808 0.003721 0.005083 0.007125 0.010185 0.015345
2025-10-05 0.002014 0.002695 0.003636 0.005077 0.007303 0.010756 0.016831
2025-10-12 0.001939 0.002636 0.003623 0.005170 0.007634 0.011595 0.018882
2025-10-19 0.001828 0.002519 0.003513 0.005105 0.007705 0.012011 0.020240
2025-10-26 0.001742 0.002431 0.003439 0.005087 0.007847 0.012557 0.021911
2025-11-02 0.001649 0.002327 0.003334 0.005010 0.007878 0.012907 0.023250
2025-11-09 0.001584 0.002265 0.003293 0.005041 0.008110 0.013668 0.025596
2025-11-16 0.001506 0.002177 0.003209 0.004993 0.008201 0.014183 0.027536
2025-11-23 0.001414 0.002064 0.003074 0.004849 0.008103 0.014321 0.028670
2025-11-30 0.001357 0.002002 0.003018 0.004835 0.008242 0.014940 0.031018
2025-12-07 0.001335 0.001994 0.003050 0.004978 0.008690 0.016246 0.035282
2025-12-14 0.001271 0.001914 0.002957 0.004889 0.008677 0.016574 0.037163
2025-12-21 0.001212 0.001839 0.002868 0.004799 0.008652 0.016874 0.039038
2025-12-28 0.001172 0.001794 0.002826 0.004793 0.008799 0.017576 0.042167
2026-01-04 0.001149 0.001777 0.002833 0.004880 0.009146 0.018784 0.047051
2026-01-11 0.001104 0.001720 0.002766 0.004819 0.009172 0.019232 0.049773
2026-01-18 0.001069 0.001678 0.002723 0.004803 0.009292 0.019927 0.053456